Amphiregulin, ST2,and REG3α Biomarker Risk Algorithms as Predictors of Non-Relapse Mortality in Patients with Acute GVHD.

Graft-vs-host disease (GVHD) is a major cause of non-relapse mortality (NRM) following allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT). Algorithms containing either the GI GVHD biomarker amphiregulin (AREG) or a combination of two GI GVHD biomarkers, (ST2+REG3α) when measured at GVHD diagnosis are validated predictors of NRM risk, but have never been assessed in the same patients using identical statistical methods. We measured serum concentrations of ST2, REG3, and AREG by ELISA at the time of GVHD diagnosis in 715 patients divided by date of transplant into training (2004-2015) and validation (2015-2017) cohorts. The training cohort (n=341) was used to develop algorithms for predicting probability of 12 month NRM that contained all possible combinations of 1-3 biomarkers and a threshold corresponding to the concordance probability was used to stratify patients for risk of NRM. Algorithms were compared to each other based on several metrics including the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), proportion of patients correctly classified, sensitivity, and specificity using only the validation cohort (n=374). All algorithms were strong discriminators of 12 month NRM, whether or not patients were systemically treated (n=321). An algorithm containing only ST2+REG3α had the highest AUC (0.757), correctly classified the most patients (75%), and more accurately risk stratified those who developed Minnesota standard risk GVHD and for patients who received post-transplant cyclophosphamide-based prophylaxis. An algorithm containing only AREG more accurately risk stratified patients with Minnesota high risk GVHD. Combining ST2, REG3α, and AREG into a single algorithm did not improve performance.

The MAGIC algorithm probability predicts treatment response and long-term outcomes to second-line therapy for acute GVHD.

The significance of biomarkers at second-line treatment for acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) is not well characterized. We analyzed clinical data and serum samples at initiation of second-line systemic treatment of acute GVHD from 167 patients from 17 centers of the Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) between 2016 and 2021. Sixty-two patients received ruxolitinib-based therapy while 102 received other systemic agents. In agreement with prospective trials, ruxolitinib resulted in higher day 28 (D28) ORR compared to non-ruxolitinib therapies (55% vs 31%, P=0.003) and patients who received ruxolitinib had significantly lower non-relapse mortality (NRM) than those who received non-ruxolitinib therapies (point estimates at 2-year: 35% vs 61%, p=0.002). Biomarker analyses demonstrated that the benefit from ruxolitinib was observed only in patients with low MAGIC algorithm probabilities (MAPs) at the start of second-line treatment. Among patients with a low MAP, those who received ruxolitinib experienced significantly lower NRM than those who received non-ruxolitinib therapies (point estimates at 2-year: 12% vs 41%, p=0.016). However, patients with a high MAP experienced high NRM regardless of treatment with ruxolitinib or non-ruxolitinib therapies (point estimates at 2-year: 67% vs 80%, p=0.65). A landmark analysis demonstrated that the relationship between D28 response and NRM largely depends on the MAP level at initiation of second-line therapy. In conclusion, the MAP measured at second-line systemic treatment for acute GVHD predicts treatment response and NRM. Outcomes of patients with high MAP are poor, regardless of treatment choice, and ruxolitinib appears to primarily benefit patients with low MAP.

Defining and Grading Infections in Clinical Trials Involving Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation: A Report From the BMT CTN Infectious Disease Technical Committee.

The Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (BMT-CTN) was established in 2001 to conduct large multi-institutional clinical trials addressing important issues towards improving the outcomes of HCT and other cellular therapies. Trials conducted by the network investigating new advances in HCT and cellular therapy not only assess efficacy but require careful capturing and severity assessment of adverse events and toxicities. Adverse infectious events in cancer clinical trials are typically graded according to the National Cancer Institute's Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE). However, there are limitations to this framework as it relates to HCT given the associated immunodeficiency and delayed immune reconstitution. The BMT-CTN Infection Grading System is a monitoring tool developed by the BMT CTN to capture and monitor infectious complications and differs from the CTCAE by its classification of infections based on their potential impact on morbidity and mortality for HCT recipients. Here we offer a report from the BMT CTN Infectious Disease Technical Committee regarding the rationale, development, and revising of BMT-CTN Infection Grading System and future directions as it applies to future clinical trials involving HCT and cellular therapy recipients.

A Validated Risk Stratification That Incorporates MAGIC Biomarkers Predicts Long-Term Outcomes in Pediatric Patients with Acute GVHD.

Acute graft versus host disease (GVHD) is a common and serious complication of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) in children but overall clinical grade at onset only modestly predicts response to treatment and survival outcomes. Two tools to assess risk at initiation of treatment were recently developed. The Minnesota risk system stratifies children for risk of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) according to the pattern of GVHD target organ severity. The Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) algorithm of 2 serum biomarkers (ST2 and REG3α) predicts NRM in adult patients but has not been validated in a pediatric population. We aimed to develop and validate a system that stratifies children at the onset of GVHD for risk of 6-month NRM. We determined the MAGIC algorithm probabilities (MAPs) and Minnesota risk for a multicenter cohort of 315 pediatric patients who developed GVHD requiring treatment with systemic corticosteroids. MAPs created 3 risk groups with distinct outcomes at the start of treatment and were more accurate than Minnesota risk stratification for prediction of NRM (area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), .79 versus .62, P = .001). A novel model that combined Minnesota risk and biomarker scores created from a training cohort was more accurate than either biomarkers or clinical systems in a validation cohort (AUC .87) and stratified patients into 2 groups with highly different 6-month NRM (5% versus 38%, P < .001). In summary, we validated the MAP as a prognostic biomarker in pediatric patients with GVHD, and a novel risk stratification that combines Minnesota risk and biomarker risk performed best. Biomarker-based risk stratification can be used in clinical trials to develop more tailored approaches for children who require treatment for GVHD.

A Day 14 Endpoint for Acute GVHD Clinical Trials.

The overall response rate (ORR) 28 days after treatment has been adopted as the primary endpoint for clinical trials of acute graft versus host disease (GVHD). However, physicians often need to modify immunosuppression earlier than day (D) 28, and non-relapse mortality (NRM) does not always correlate with ORR at D28. We studied 1144 patients that received systemic treatment for GVHD in the Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) and divided them into a training set (n=764) and a validation set (n=380). We used a recursive partitioning algorithm to create a Mount Sinai model that classifies patients into favorable or unfavorable groups that predicted 12 month NRM according to overall GVHD grade at both onset and D14. In the Mount Sinai model grade II GVHD at D14 was unfavorable for grade III/IV GVHD at onset and predicted NRM as well as the D28 standard response model. The MAGIC algorithm probability (MAP) is a validated score that combines the serum concentrations of suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) and regenerating islet-derived 3-alpha (REG3α) to predict NRM. Inclusion of the D14 MAP biomarker score with the D14 Mount Sinai model created three distinct groups (good, intermediate, poor) with strikingly different NRM (8%, 35%, 76% respectively). This D14 MAGIC model displayed better AUC, sensitivity, positive and negative predictive value, and net benefit in decision curve analysis compared to the D28 standard response model. We conclude that this D14 MAGIC model could be useful in therapeutic decisions and may offer an improved endpoint for clinical trials of acute GVHD treatment.

Flares of acute graft-versus-host disease: a Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium analysis.

ABSTRACT: The absence of a standardized definition for graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) flares and data on its clinical course are significant concerns. We retrospectively evaluated 968 patients across 23 Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) transplant centers who achieved complete response (CR) or very good partial response (VGPR) within 4 weeks of treatment. The cumulative incidence of flares within 6 months was 22%, and flares were associated with a higher risk of nonrelapse mortality (NRM; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 4.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.19-7.36; P < .001). Flares were more severe (grades 3/4, 41% vs 16%; P < .001) and had more frequent lower gastrointestinal (LGI) involvement (55% vs 32%; P < .001) than the initial GVHD. At CR/VGPR, elevated MAGIC biomarkers predicted the future occurrence of a flare, along with its severity and LGI involvement. In multivariate analyses, higher Ann Arbor (AA) biomarker scores at CR/VGPR were significant risk factors for flares (AA2 vs AA1: aHR, 1.81 [95% CI, 1.32-2.48; P = .001]; AA3 vs AA1: aHR, 3.14 [95% CI, 1.98-4.98; P < .001]), as were early response to initial treatment (aHR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.21-2.80; P = .004) and HLA-mismatched unrelated donor (aHR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.00-3.02; P = .049). MAGIC biomarkers also stratified the risk of NRM both at CR/VGPR and at the time of flare. We conclude that GVHD flares are common and carry a significant mortality risk. The occurrence of future flares can be predicted by serum biomarkers that may serve to guide adjustment and discontinuation of immunosuppression.

Galectin-3 predicts acute GvHD and overall mortality post reduced intensity allo-HCT: a BMT-CTN biorepository study.

Identifying plasma biomarkers early after allo-HCT may become crucial to prevent and treat severe aGvHD. We utilized samples from 203 allo-HCT patients selected from the Blood & Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (BMT CTN) to identify new biomarker models to predict aGvHD and overall mortality. Two new biomarkers (Gal-3 and LAG-3), and previously identified biomarkers (ST2/IL33R, IL6, Reg3A, PD-1, TIM-3, TNFR1) were screened. Increased Gal-3 levels measured at Day +7 post-transplant predicted the development of aGvHD (grade 2-4) in the total population [AUC: 0.602; P = 0.045] while higher Day +14 levels predicted overall mortality due to toxicity among patients receiving reduced intensity conditioning [P = 0.028] but not myeloablative conditioning. Elevated LAG-3 levels (Day +21) were associated with less severe aGvHD [159.1 ng/mL vs 222.0 ng/mL; P = 0.046]. We developed a model utilizing Gal-3, LAG-3, and PD-1 levels at Days +14 and +21 with an improved performance to predict aGvHD and overall non-relapse mortality. We confirmed four informative biomarkers (Reg3A, ST2, TIM-3, and TNFR1) predict severe aGvHD at day +14 and day +21 (grade 3-4). In conclusion, the combination of Gal-3 alone or in combination with LAG-3, and PD-1 is a new informative model to predict aGvHD development and overall non-relapse mortality after allo-HCT.

Planning GvHD preemptive therapy: risk factors, biomarkers, and prognostic scores.

Prevention of acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease (aGvHD and cGvHD) is an important objective of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). While there is has been significant progress in preventative approaches in the peritransplant period to minimize development of GvHD, no preventative approach has completely eliminated development of either aGvHD or cGvHD. Recently, posttransplant immune biomarker profiling early post-HCT by the Mount Sinai Acute GvHD International Consortium group has resulted in a validated risk assignment algorithm and development of preemptive approaches to decrease aGvHD and mortality in high-risk patients. cGvHD risk assignment algorithms have been developed based on measurements at day 100 and may be used for future preemptive intervention trials to minimize cGvHD. This article discusses the current state of the art in aGvHD and cGvHD preemptive algorithms and therapeutic interventions and what is needed to move these into validated approaches.

Inhibition of RIP1 improves immune reconstitution and reduces GVHD mortality while preserving graft-versus-leukemia effects.

Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) remains the major cause of morbidity and nonrelapse mortality (NRM) after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). Inflammatory cytokines mediate damage to key GVHD targets such as intestinal stem cells (ISCs) and also activate receptor interacting protein kinase 1 (RIP1; RIPK1), a critical regulator of apoptosis and necroptosis. We therefore investigated the role of RIP1 in acute GVHD using samples from HCT patients, modeling GVHD damage in vitro with both human and mouse gastrointestinal (GI) organoids, and blocking RIP1 activation in vivo using several well-characterized mouse HCT models. Increased phospho-RIP1 expression in GI biopsies from patients with acute GVHD correlated with tissue damage and predicted NRM. Both the genetic inactivation of RIP1 and the RIP1 inhibitor GNE684 prevented GVHD-induced apoptosis of ISCs in vivo and in vitro. Daily administration of GNE684 for 14 days reduced inflammatory infiltrates in three GVHD target organs (intestine, liver, and spleen) in mice. Unexpectedly, GNE684 administration also reversed the marked loss of regulatory T cells in the intestines and liver during GVHD and reduced splenic T cell exhaustion, thus improving immune reconstitution. Pharmacological and genetic inhibition of RIP1 improved long-term survival without compromising the graft-versus-leukemia (GVL) effect in lymphocytic and myeloid leukemia mouse models. Thus, RIP1inhibition may represent a nonimmunosuppressive treatment for GVHD.

Children's Oncology Group's 2023 blueprint for research: Cellular therapy and stem cell transplantation.

Since the publication of the last Cellular Therapy and Stem Cell Transplant blueprint in 2013, Children's Oncology Group cellular therapy-based trials advanced the field and created new standards of care across a wide spectrum of pediatric cancer diagnoses. Key findings include that tandem autologous transplant improved survival for patients with neuroblastoma and atypical teratoid/rhabdoid brain tumors, one umbilical cord blood (UCB) donor was safer than two UCB donors, killer immunoglobulin receptor (KIR) mismatched donors did not improve survival for pediatric acute myeloid leukemia when in vivo T-cell depletion is used, and the depth of remission as measured by next-generation sequencing-based minimal residual disease assessment pretransplant was the best predictor of relapse for acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Plans for the next decade include optimizing donor selection for transplants for acute leukemia/myelodysplastic syndrome, using novel engineered cellular therapies to target a wide array of malignancies, and developing better treatments for cellular therapy toxicities such as viral infections and graft-vs-host disease.

Incidence, clinical presentation, risk factors, outcomes, and biomarkers in de novo late acute GVHD.

Late acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) is defined as de novo acute GVHD presenting beyond 100 days after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) without manifestations of chronic GVHD. Data are limited regarding its characteristics, clinical course, and risk factors because of underrecognition and changes in classification. We evaluated 3542 consecutive adult recipients of first HCTs at 24 Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) centers between January 2014 and August 2021 to better describe the clinical evolution and outcomes of late acute GVHD. The cumulative incidence of classic acute GVHD that required systemic treatment was 35.2%, and an additional 5.7% of patients required treatment for late acute GVHD. At the onset of symptoms, late acute GVHD was more severe than classic acute GVHD based on both clinical and MAGIC algorithm probability biomarker parameters and showed a lower overall response rate on day 28. Both clinical and biomarker grading at the time of treatment stratified the risk of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) in patients with classic and late acute GVHD, respectively, but long-term NRM and overall survival did not differ between patients with classic and late acute GVHD. Advanced age, female-to-male sex mismatch, and the use of reduced intensity conditioning were associated with the development of late acute GVHD, whereas the use of posttransplant cyclophosphamide-based GVHD prevention was protective mainly because of shifts in GVHD timing. Because overall outcomes were comparable, our findings, although not definitive, suggest that similar treatment strategies, including eligibility for clinical trials, based solely on clinical presentation at onset are appropriate.

Phase 2 study of natalizumab plus standard corticosteroid treatment for high-risk acute graft-versus-host disease.

Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) of the gastrointestinal (GI) tract is the main cause of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation. Ann Arbor (AA) scores derived from serum biomarkers at onset of GVHD quantify GI crypt damage; AA2/3 scores correlate with resistance to treatment and higher NRM. We conducted a multicenter, phase 2 study using natalizumab, a humanized monoclonal antibody that blocks T-cell trafficking to the GI tract through the α4 subunit of α4ß7 integrin, combined with corticosteroids as primary treatment for patients with new onset AA2/3 GVHD. Seventy-five patients who were evaluable were enrolled and treated; 81% received natalizumab within 2 days of starting corticosteroids. Therapy was well tolerated with no treatment emergent adverse events in >10% of patients. Outcomes for patients treated with natalizumab plus corticosteroids were compared with 150 well-matched controls from the MAGIC database whose primary treatment was corticosteroids alone. There were no significant differences in overall or complete response between patients treated with natalizumab plus corticosteroids and those treated with corticosteroids alone (60% vs 58%; P = .67% and 48% vs 48%; P = 1.0, respectively) including relevant subgroups. There were also no significant differences in NRM or overall survival at 12 months in patients treated with natalizumab plus corticosteroids compared with controls treated with corticosteroids alone (38% vs 39%; P = .80% and 46% vs 54%; P = .48, respectively). In this multicenter biomarker-based phase 2 study, natalizumab combined with corticosteroids failed to improve outcome of patients with newly diagnosed high-risk GVHD. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as # NCT02133924.

Reg3α concentrations at day of allogeneic stem cell transplantation predict outcome and correlate with early antibiotic use.

Intestinal microbiome diversity plays an important role in the pathophysiology of acute gastrointestinal (GI) graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) and influences the outcome of patients after allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT). We analyzed clinical data and blood samples taken preconditioning and on the day of ASCT from 587 patients from 7 German centers of the Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium, dividing them into single-center test (n = 371) and multicenter validation (n = 216) cohorts. Regenerating islet-derived 3α (Reg3α) serum concentration of day 0 correlated with clinical data as well as urinary 3-indoxylsulfate (3-IS) and Clostridiales group XIVa, indicators of intestinal microbiome diversity. High Reg3α concentration at day 0 of ASCT was associated with higher 1-year transplant-related mortality (TRM) in both cohorts (P < .001). Cox regression analysis revealed high Reg3α at day 0 as an independent prognostic factor for 1-year TRM. Multivariable analysis showed an independent correlation of high Reg3α concentrations at day 0 with early systemic antibiotic (AB) treatment. Urinary 3-IS (P = .04) and Clostridiales group XIVa (P = .004) were lower in patients with high vs those with low day 0 Reg3α concentrations. In contrast, Reg3α concentrations before conditioning therapy correlated neither with TRM nor disease or treatment-related parameters. Reg3α, a known biomarker of acute GI GVHD correlates with intestinal dysbiosis, induced by early AB treatment in the period of pretransplant conditioning. Serum concentrations of Reg3α measured on the day of graft infusion are predictive of the risk for TRM of ASCT recipients.

Effective treatment of low-risk acute GVHD with itacitinib monotherapy.

The standard primary treatment for acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) requires prolonged, high-dose systemic corticosteroids (SCSs) that delay reconstitution of the immune system. We used validated clinical and biomarker staging criteria to identify a group of patients with low-risk (LR) GVHD that is very likely to respond to SCS. We hypothesized that itacitinib, a selective JAK1 inhibitor, would effectively treat LR GVHD without SCS. We treated 70 patients with LR GVHD in a multicenter, phase 2 trial (NCT03846479) with 28 days of itacitinib 200 mg/d (responders could receive a second 28-day cycle), and we compared their outcomes to those of 140 contemporaneous, matched control patients treated with SCSs. More patients responded to itacitinib within 7 days (81% vs 66%, P = .02), and response rates at day 28 were very high for both groups (89% vs 86%, P = .67), with few symptomatic flares (11% vs 12%, P = .88). Fewer itacitinib-treated patients developed a serious infection within 90 days (27% vs 42%, P = .04) due to fewer viral and fungal infections. Grade ≥3 cytopenias were similar between groups except for less severe leukopenia with itacitinib (16% vs 31%, P = .02). No other grade ≥3 adverse events occurred in >10% of itacitinib-treated patients. There were no significant differences between groups at 1 year for nonrelapse mortality (4% vs 11%, P = .21), relapse (18% vs 21%, P = .64), chronic GVHD (28% vs 33%, P = .33), or survival (88% vs 80%, P = .11). Itacitinib monotherapy seems to be a safe and effective alternative to SCS treatment for LR GVHD and deserves further investigation.

Prognostic Biomarkers for Hepatic Veno-Occlusive Disease/Sinusoidal Obstruction Syndrome in Myeloablative Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation: Results from the Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network 1202 Study.

Hepatic veno-occlusive disease/sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (VOD/SOS) is a potentially life-threatening complication of hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). This study aimed to determine a blood biomarker signature early post-HCT that identifies patients at high risk for VOD/SOS. A set of 23 plasma biomarkers, selected from the VOD/SOS literature, was measured on days 0, 7, and 14 after myeloablative HCT using blood samples from patients enrolled in the Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (BMT CTN) Protocol 1202. Eligible cases were diagnosed with VOD/SOS in BMT CTN 1202 using the Baltimore criteria. Controls (without VOD/SOS) were matched to cases for conditioning regimen and age. Significant biomarkers were identified using the Bonferroni-adjusted Wilcoxon rank-sum test (P ≤ .002). Thirty-three patients with mild or severe VOD/SOS were identified (cases) and matched to 107 controls. Two, 8, and 5 biomarkers measured from the plasma of these patients were significantly associated with the development of VOD/SOS at days 0, 7, and 14, respectively, with the strongest associations on days 7 and 14. Biomarker associations were stronger for severe VOD/SOS risk and were stronger prognostic markers for VOD/SOS cases occurring within 28 days of HCT. Hyaluronan was most strongly associated with VOD/SOS risk, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of .81 on day 7 and .79 on day 14. Multivariate models of up to 5 biomarkers generated AUCs ranging from .82 to .85. All associations with VOD/SOS risk were independent of clinical risk factors. This study confirms previously identified biomarkers of VOD/SOS risk and identified novel prognostic biomarker signatures that identify patients at risk for VOD/SOS shortly after HCT. Multivariate analysis suggests that a combination of up to 5 of these protein biomarkers may provide a prognostic tool for identifying patients at risk for VOD/SOS.

Acute GVHD: New approaches to clinical trial monitoring.

Acute GVHD occurs in nearly 50% of patients receiving hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT), and is the major driver of mortality. However, progress in the development of new acute GVHD therapeutics has been slow, in part due to heterogeneity in acute GVHD data collection and interpretation among centers. Herein, we first describe the methods used by the Mount Sinai Acute GVHD International Consortium (MAGIC) to standardize acute GVHD data collection and curation. We then review the utility of serum biomarkers, specifically the MAGIC Algorithm Probability (MAP) that combines two GI biomarkers (ST2 and REG3α) that has been shown to be more accurate than changes in clinical symptom severity after GVHD treatment. We then present preliminary data on the feasibility of a surrogate clinical trial endpoint that combines clinical response and MAP two weeks after treatment. This novel endpoint is an earlier and potentially better predictor of non-relapse mortality than the current gold standard of clinical response four weeks after treatment.